Some academics say that the rise of a moneyed class in China won't necessarily lead to democracy.  Here's something to toss into the mix:

<quote><a href="http://twitter.com/isaac/statuses/111493682">中国更有可能采纳托克维尔模型的公民社会？</a></quote>

(BTW, can you guess who 托克维尔 is?  I got it right :)